NFL Week 2 — This week
Denver backfield vs Jaguars, DEN
Denver totals under 90 rushing yards as a team
MISSResult: Denver rushed for 104 yards as a team, over the 90-yard threshold, despite RJ Harvey's hamstring issue.
Rhamondre Stevenson, NE
Leads Patriots RBs in touches even with Henderson active
PENDINGMansoor Delane, KC
Plays a real defensive role Sunday night vs. Indianapolis
HITResult: Delane was cleared and active for the game after being a full participant in practice mid-week, playing through the shoulder injury as expected.
Philadelphia offensive line vs Tennessee
Eagles allow 2+ sacks vs. Tennessee
HITResult: Eagles allowed 3 sacks, clearing the 2+ threshold -- the Landon Dickerson absence on the interior line showed up as expected.
NY Giants at LA Rams
Giants beat the Rams outright on the road
PENDINGCFB Week 3 — This week
Texas Tech vs Houston
Texas Tech wins by 10+ points
MISSResult: Texas Tech won, but only by 2 (28-26) -- far short of the 10+ point margin called. Houston was more competitive than expected.
Ohio State vs Kent State
Ohio State wins by 40+ points
HITResult: Ohio State won 59-3, a 56-point margin -- well clear of the 40+ threshold.
Gunner Stockton, Georgia
Throws 3+ TD passes at Arkansas
MISSResult: Stockton threw just 1 TD pass himself (a 61-yard strike to Dandridge) -- Georgia's other passing TD came from backup QB R.Puglisi in Q4 garbage time. Georgia's scoring was rushing-heavy (4 rushing TDs) instead.
Malachi Toney, Miami
Records a receiving TD at Wake Forest
HITResult: Toney caught a 2-yard TD pass from D.Mensah in the 3rd quarter.
Arch Manning, Texas
Throws for 250+ yards with no interceptions vs UTSA
MISSResult: Manning threw for only 172 yards, well under the 250 threshold -- though he did clear the no-interception half of the call (0 INTs on 35 attempts).
NFL Week 1 — Final
Packers backfield vs Vikings, GB
Total under 100 rushing yards as a team
HITResult: Green Bay rushed for just 66 yards as a team.
Chargers defense vs Cardinals, LAC
Chargers allow 100+ rushing yards to Arizona
HITResult: Arizona rushed for 116 yards as a team.
Odell Beckham Jr., NYG
Receives at least 5 targets in the Giants' opener vs. Dallas
MISSResult: Beckham finished with zero targets -- Malik Nabers being active pushed him down the depth chart more than expected.
Joey Porter Jr., PIT
Plays in Week 1 vs. Atlanta despite contract dispute
MISSResult: Porter was officially inactive for the game (back injury) and never took the field.
Ashton Jeanty, LV
Leads all RBs in the game in rushing yards vs. Miami
HITResult: Jeanty led all RBs in the game with 102 rushing yards (147 total, 2 TD) -- Miami's backs managed only 65 rushing yards outside of scrambles.
Kenneth Walker III, KC
Leads all Chiefs RBs in rushing yards in his Chiefs debut vs. Denver
HITResult: Walker broke a 60-yard rushing touchdown in his Chiefs debut, clearly the feature back (KC rushed for 220 yards as a team).
CFB Week 2 — This week
Arch Manning, Texas
Throws at least 1 interception vs. Ohio State
HITResult: Manning threw 1 interception in the 4th quarter comeback; Texas won 24-23.
Oregon at Oklahoma State
Oregon wins by one score (8 points or fewer)
HITResult: Final margin was exactly 8 points, Oklahoma State won 39-31.
Iowa vs Iowa State
Combined score stays under 45 points
HITResult: Combined 29 points, well under the 45-point threshold.
Oklahoma at Michigan
Game is within one score in the 4th quarter
HITResult: Final margin was 7 points, Michigan won 17-10.
Sam Leavitt, LSU
Throws for 300+ yards vs. Louisiana Tech
CORRECTEDResult: This prediction named the wrong player -- Garrett Nussmeier is not LSU's starting QB this season, Sam Leavitt is. Leavitt threw for 381 yards and 3 total TDs in the 45-14 win. Voided, not graded, since the premise itself was factually wrong.
CFB Week 0 — Final
Florida State defense vs New Mexico State
Florida State records at least 3 sacks
HITResult: FSU won 34-17 and recorded exactly 3 sacks to New Mexico State's 1 -- meeting the threshold exactly, with a key sack ending an Aggies scoring drive.
North Carolina @ TCU (Dublin)
Total goes UNDER in Dublin
HITResult: UNC won 15-10, a combined 25 points decided by a safety on a botched punt, missed field goals, and multiple turnovers on downs -- exactly the low-scoring, mistake-prone slog the reasoning called for.
NFL Preseason Week 3 — Final
Fernando Mendoza, LV vs 49ers
Completes at least 60% of his passes in the preseason finale
MISSResult: Went 7-of-14 (50%) for 57 yards and an interception, capping a rough preseason (25-of-45, 55.5%, 2 INT, 4 sacks across three games).
Cedric Tillman, CLE
Does not make the Browns' initial 53-man roster
HITResult: The Browns waived Tillman at cutdown, per Adam Schefter -- rookies Concepcion and Boston plus Tylan Wallace buried him, and an undisclosed camp injury sealed it.
KC Concepcion, CLE vs Patriots
Leads all Browns WRs in yards from scrimmage
PUSHResult: Concepcion didn't play in this game at all -- he appeared in just 1 of Cleveland's 3 preseason games, and his earlier 27-yard line was from the Week 1 opener, not this one.
Odell Beckham Jr., NYG
Does not make the Giants' initial 53-man roster
MISSResult: Beckham made the 53 -- one of five receivers kept. The reasoning was sound on the depth chart alone, but Calvin Austin III's season-ending knee injury right before cuts changed the math in a way we couldn't have known.
Chris Braswell, TB
Does not make the Buccaneers' initial 53-man roster
HITResult: The Buccaneers waived Braswell at cutdown -- he never cracked the starting lineup in three seasons, playing under 30% of defensive snaps.
NFL Preseason Week 2 — Final
Bo Nix, DEN vs Packers
Nix completes at least 65% of his passes in his preseason debut
HITResult: Nix went 6-of-9 (66.7%) for 76 yards and a TD across two drives, a 129.9 passer rating in his return from ankle surgery.
Aaron Rodgers, PIT vs Jets
Rodgers leads the Steelers to a scoring drive on his opening series
PUSHResult: Rodgers sat out for a second straight preseason game. The premise never got tested.
Cardinals backfield vs Cowboys
Tyler Allgeier leads the Cardinals backfield in touches
PUSHResult: Allgeier didn't play at all -- absent from the box score entirely. No backfield-touches battle to grade.
Browns WR room vs Bills
Jerry Jeudy leads the Browns' wide receiver group in targets
MISSResult: Jeudy made a brief cameo and finished with zero targets -- the least action of anyone in the room.
Seahawks RB battle vs Titans
Jadarian Price leads the Price/Holani/Wilson group in touches
PUSHResult: Seattle held out all three players in the call. Carries went to Jacardia Wright, Velus Jones Jr., and Anthony Hankerson instead -- none of whom were part of the prediction.
NFL Preseason Week 1 — Final
Anthony Richardson vs Riley Leonard, IND
Richardson outplays Leonard (completion % or QBR)
HITResult: Richardson went 11/14 (78.6%) with a rush TD; Leonard went 10/21 (47.6%) with an INT.
Terrell Jennings, NE
Jennings does NOT make the Patriots' 53-man roster
HITResult: Jennings was placed on season-ending IR just before the opener.
TreVeyon Henderson vs Rhamondre Stevenson, NE
Henderson out-touches Stevenson in preseason Week 1
MISSResult: Stevenson was the clear lead back with 128 scrimmage yards.
David Moore, CAR WR3 group
David Moore leads the WR3 group in targets
MISSResult: Jimmy Horn Jr. led instead, 4 catches to Moore's 1.
Bo Nix, DEN (Week 1)
Nix plays under 10 snaps in the Broncos preseason opener
PUSHResult: Nix didn't play at all -- 0 snaps technically clears "under 10," but the reasoning assumed some participation, not a full scratch.
Charlie Kolar vs David Njoku, LAC
Kolar outscores Njoku in the Chargers preseason opener
PUSHResult: Neither player suited up -- the premise never got tested.